Bayesian Thought
Probability and Reasoning in the Age of Uncertainty

I have an abiding interest in Bayesian probability as a solution to the problem of induction. My key source book is Probability Theory: The Logic of Science by E.T. Jaynes. Collected here are a few of the writings from a book project I have exploring belief and reason using these tools.

Introduction

The Probabilist

Belief and the amoeba

Likelihood

Bayesian networks